Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2022-01-31 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 8 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 25.9%
FLA: 74.1%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 1.52
FLA: 3.70
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 58%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.877 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 4.04 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | Elvis Merzlikins | 40 | 32 | 8 | 80.0% | 3.90 | 3 | -4.10 |
| FLA | Sergei Bobrovsky | 36 | 32 | 4 | 88.9% | 2.53 | 0 | -1.47 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CBJ at home vs FLA: 2-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | FLA 2 - 1 CBJ | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-05 | CBJ 4 - 2 FLA | CBJ | FLA |
| 2025-12-06 | FLA 7 - 6 CBJ | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-20 | CBJ 0 - 1 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-06 | FLA 3 - 0 CBJ | FLA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 13 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 1 | FLA | 15 | 0 | 1.03 |
| 2 | CBJ | 11 | 0 | 0.82 |
| 2 | FLA | 17 | 2 | 1.41 |
| 3 | CBJ | 19 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 3 | FLA | 19 | 1 | 1.46 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 74.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 8 Florida Panthers
Expected: 1.5 - 3.7
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