Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2022-01-31 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 59.5%
VAN: 40.5%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.98
VAN: 2.40
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
M. Fleury
VAN
J. Halak
| Stat | CHI | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | M. Fleury | 32 | 29 | 3 | 90.6% | 2.18 | 2 | -0.82 |
| VAN | J. Halak | 21 | 20 | 1 | 95.2% | 1.45 | 0 | 0.45 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • CHI at home vs VAN: 0-8
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | CHI 3 - 6 VAN | VAN | CHI |
| 2025-11-05 | VAN 2 - 5 CHI | CHI | VAN |
| 2025-10-17 | CHI 2 - 3 VAN | VAN | CHI |
| 2025-03-15 | VAN 6 - 2 CHI | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-11-16 | VAN 4 - 1 CHI | VAN | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 9 | 0 | 0.59 |
| 1 | VAN | 13 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 2 | CHI | 9 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 2 | VAN | 13 | 1 | 0.87 |
| 3 | CHI | 9 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 3 | VAN | 14 | 1 | 0.83 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.0 - 2.4
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