St. Louis Blues at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-02-17 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues (OT)

Win Probability

MTL: 54.5%

STL: 45.5%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.03

STL: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	27	25	2	92.6%	2.54	0	0.54
STL	V. Husso	30	27	3	90.0%	2.37	0	-0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • MTL at home vs STL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	STL 2 - 0 MTL	STL	MTL
2025-12-07	MTL 3 - 4 STL	STL	MTL
2025-03-25	STL 6 - 1 MTL	STL	STL
2024-10-26	MTL 5 - 2 STL	MTL	STL
2024-02-11	MTL 2 - 7 STL	STL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	MTL	14	0.90
1	STL	10	0.53
2	MTL	15	0.70
2	STL	6	0.56
3	MTL	13	0.58
3	STL	20	1.40
4	MTL	1	0.19
4	STL	1	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2