Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-02-02 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

DET: 46.3%

LAK: 53.7%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.62

LAK: 3.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	45	40	5	88.9%	5.46	7	0.46
LAK	J. Quick	25	22	3	88.0%	2.70	3	-0.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs LAK: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	DET 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-30	LAK 3 - 4 DET	DET	LAK
2025-01-27	DET 5 - 2 LAK	DET	DET
2024-11-16	LAK 4 - 1 DET	LAK	LAK
2024-01-13	DET 5 - 3 LAK	DET	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	8	0	0.47
1	LAK	20	1	1.04
2	DET	11	3	1.45
2	LAK	25	3	2.70
3	DET	15	0	0.79
3	LAK	10	3	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.6 - 3.6