Calgary Flames at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-02-02 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

ARI: 45.1%

CGY: 54.9%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.99

CGY: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 53%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	50	46	4	92.0%	3.92	3	-0.08
CGY	J. Markstrom	28	26	2	92.9%	2.69	0	0.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • ARI at home vs CGY: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-14	CGY 6 - 5 ARI	CGY	CGY
2024-01-16	CGY 3 - 2 ARI	CGY	ARI
2024-01-11	ARI 2 - 6 CGY	CGY	CGY
2023-03-14	ARI 4 - 3 CGY	ARI	CGY
2023-02-22	ARI 3 - 6 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	9	0	0.26
1	CGY	30	3	2.04
2	ARI	15	0	1.35
2	CGY	21	0	0.95
3	ARI	17	0	1.07
3	CGY	15	0	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 3.7