Los Angeles Kings at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-02-23 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

ARI: 44.8%

LAK: 55.2%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.78

LAK: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 48%

ARI

S. Wedgewood

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	S. Wedgewood	35	32	3	91.4%	3.31	2	0.31
LAK	C. Petersen	19	17	2	89.5%	1.45	0	-0.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • ARI at home vs LAK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-11-20	ARI 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-27	ARI 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-24	LAK 6 - 3 ARI	LAK	LAK
2023-02-18	LAK 6 - 5 ARI	LAK	ARI
2022-12-23	ARI 2 - 1 LAK	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	6	0	0.17
1	LAK	17	0	0.66
2	ARI	13	0	0.90
2	LAK	17	0	0.99
3	ARI	9	0	0.37
3	LAK	15	2	1.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2