Columbus Blue Jackets at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2022-02-24 • FLA Live Arena
Florida Panthers 3 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 70.1%
CBJ: 29.9%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.96
CBJ: 1.60
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
J. Johansson
CBJ
J. Berube
| Stat | FLA | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | J. Johansson | 28 | 22 | 6 | 78.6% | 3.15 | 2 | -2.85 |
| CBJ | J. Berube | 42 | 39 | 3 | 92.9% | 3.79 | 1 | 0.79 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs CBJ: 7-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | FLA 2 - 1 CBJ | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-05 | CBJ 4 - 2 FLA | CBJ | FLA |
| 2025-12-06 | FLA 7 - 6 CBJ | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-20 | CBJ 0 - 1 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-06 | FLA 3 - 0 CBJ | FLA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 14 | 0 | 1.16 |
| 1 | CBJ | 12 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 2 | FLA | 19 | 0 | 1.03 |
| 2 | CBJ | 10 | 0 | 0.55 |
| 3 | FLA | 18 | 1 | 1.59 |
| 3 | CBJ | 14 | 2 | 1.64 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 70.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 3 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 4.0 - 1.6
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