Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-02-24 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Dallas Stars (SO)

Win Probability

NSH: 57.8%

DAL: 42.2%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.12

DAL: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	32	31	1	96.9%	3.53	0	2.53
DAL	Jake Oettinger	24	22	2	91.7%	2.95	1	0.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NSH at home vs DAL: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	NSH
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	11	0	0.81
1	DAL	14	0	0.99
2	NSH	8	0	0.52
2	DAL	12	0	0.82
3	NSH	7	0	0.26
3	DAL	13	0	0.80
4	NSH	2	0	0.23
4	DAL	9	0	0.66
5	NSH	4	1	1.12
5	DAL	4	0	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0