Boston Bruins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2022-02-24 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Boston Bruins (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 51.4%
BOS: 48.6%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.09
BOS: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
BOS
L. Ullmark
| Stat | SEA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.920 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.32 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 39 | 36 | 3 | 92.3% | 3.00 | 0 | -0.00 |
| BOS | L. Ullmark | 27 | 25 | 2 | 92.6% | 2.46 | 1 | 0.46 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SEA at home vs BOS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | BOS 4 - 2 SEA | BOS | BOS |
| 2026-01-06 | SEA 7 - 4 BOS | SEA | BOS |
| 2024-12-12 | SEA 5 - 1 BOS | SEA | BOS |
| 2024-11-03 | BOS 2 - 0 SEA | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-02-26 | SEA 4 - 3 BOS | SEA | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 11 | 0 | 0.66 |
| 1 | BOS | 23 | 0 | 1.61 |
| 2 | SEA | 15 | 0 | 0.91 |
| 2 | BOS | 20 | 0 | 1.04 |
| 3 | SEA | 12 | 1 | 0.90 |
| 3 | BOS | 12 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 4 | SEA | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | BOS | 1 | 0 | 0.02 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8
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