Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-02-25 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

COL: 57.7%

WPG: 42.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.41

WPG: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

COL

P. Francouz

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	P. Francouz	29	26	3	89.7%	1.68	0	-1.32
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	42	36	6	85.7%	3.38	2	-2.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • COL at home vs WPG: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	16	0	0.71
1	WPG	13	0	0.82
2	COL	18	2	1.50
2	WPG	10	0	0.33
3	COL	21	0	1.17
3	WPG	12	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0