Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-02-26 • Nissan Stadium

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

NSH: 46.7%

TBL: 53.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.02

TBL: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 15-7-2 | 0.913 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	33	30	3	90.9%	2.72	0	-0.28
TBL	Andrei Vasilevskiy	28	26	2	92.9%	2.69	0	0.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • NSH at home vs TBL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2025-10-28	NSH 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-11-29	NSH 2 - 3 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-10-28	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2023-12-07	NSH 5 - 1 TBL	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NSH	15	0.86
1	TBL	18	0.91
2	NSH	10	0.37
2	TBL	15	0.91
3	NSH	20	1.46
3	TBL	10	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3