Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2022-02-26 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 45.9%
BOS: 54.1%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.82
BOS: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
J. Reimer
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | SJS | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | J. Reimer | 37 | 34 | 3 | 91.9% | 2.48 | 1 | -0.52 |
| BOS | Jeremy Swayman | 16 | 15 | 1 | 93.8% | 1.44 | 1 | 0.44 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SJS at home vs BOS: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | BOS 2 - 4 SJS | SJS | BOS |
| 2025-11-23 | SJS 3 - 1 BOS | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-03-22 | SJS 3 - 1 BOS | SJS | BOS |
| 2025-01-20 | BOS 6 - 3 SJS | BOS | BOS |
| 2023-11-30 | BOS 3 - 0 SJS | BOS | BOS |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJS | 7 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 1 | BOS | 10 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 2 | SJS | 5 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 2 | BOS | 22 | 0 | 0.97 |
| 3 | SJS | 13 | 1 | 0.97 |
| 3 | BOS | 14 | 1 | 1.18 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 2.8 - 3.2
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