Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2022-02-27 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 65.1%
EDM: 34.9%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.37
EDM: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA
EDM
M. Smith
| Stat | CAR | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.865 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.38 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | Frederik Andersen | 30 | 29 | 1 | 96.7% | 3.56 | 1 | 2.56 |
| EDM | M. Smith | 29 | 27 | 2 | 93.1% | 2.98 | 2 | 0.98 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CAR at home vs EDM: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | EDM 3 - 6 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-15 | CAR 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | CAR |
| 2025-03-01 | CAR 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | CAR |
| 2024-10-22 | EDM 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2023-12-06 | EDM 6 - 1 CAR | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 20 | 1 | 1.87 |
| 1 | EDM | 16 | 0 | 1.69 |
| 2 | CAR | 10 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 2 | EDM | 19 | 1 | 1.24 |
| 3 | CAR | 12 | 1 | 0.80 |
| 3 | EDM | 10 | 0 | 0.63 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7
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