Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-03-01 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 49.1%

CAR: 50.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.78

CAR: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 53%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	30	27	3	90.0%	2.88	0	-0.12
CAR	A. Raanta	41	37	4	90.2%	4.47	5	0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs CAR: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2026-01-12	DET 4 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-12-27	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2025-04-04	DET 5 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-03-14	CAR 4 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	13	1	1.29
1	CAR	11	0	0.64
2	DET	11	1	0.63
2	CAR	10	0	0.93
3	DET	15	0	1.32
3	CAR	15	0	1.09
4	DET	8	3	1.23
4	CAR	2	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2