Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2022-03-01 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 47.6%
EDM: 52.4%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.12
EDM: 3.46
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
C. Hart
EDM
M. Koskinen
| Stat | PHI | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | C. Hart | 32 | 29 | 3 | 90.6% | 3.73 | 3 | 0.73 |
| EDM | M. Koskinen | 39 | 39 | 0 | 100.0% | 3.11 | 3 | 3.11 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • PHI at home vs EDM: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | EDM 2 - 5 PHI | PHI | EDM |
| 2025-11-12 | PHI 1 - 2 EDM | EDM | PHI |
| 2025-02-22 | PHI 6 - 3 EDM | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-10-15 | EDM 4 - 3 PHI | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-01-02 | EDM 5 - 2 PHI | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 20 | 0 | 1.06 |
| 1 | EDM | 12 | 0 | 0.73 |
| 2 | PHI | 13 | 1 | 0.62 |
| 2 | EDM | 17 | 2 | 1.49 |
| 3 | PHI | 21 | 2 | 1.44 |
| 3 | EDM | 12 | 1 | 1.50 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.5
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