New Jersey Devils at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-03-01 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CBJ: 53.5%

NJD: 46.5%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.06

NJD: 2.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	33	30	3	90.9%	3.55	1	0.55
NJD	Nico Daws	31	27	4	87.1%	2.81	0	-1.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CBJ at home vs NJD: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	NJD 0 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	NJD
2025-12-31	CBJ 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	CBJ
2025-12-01	NJD 3 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	NJD
2025-10-13	CBJ 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	CBJ
2025-03-17	CBJ 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	0	1.02
1	NJD	18	1	1.51
2	CBJ	19	0	1.37
2	NJD	13	0	0.89
3	CBJ	11	0	0.42
3	NJD	12	0	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 2.1