Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-03-01 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

MIN: 46.4%

CGY: 53.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.07

CGY: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

MIN

C. Talbot

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	27	22	5	81.5%	2.00	1	-3.00
CGY	J. Markstrom	33	32	1	97.0%	2.69	0	1.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • MIN at home vs CGY: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	MIN 4 - 1 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-12-04	CGY 4 - 1 MIN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-09	MIN 2 - 0 CGY	MIN	CGY
2025-04-11	CGY 4 - 2 MIN	CGY	MIN
2025-01-25	MIN 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	0.58
1	CGY	13	0	0.47
2	MIN	13	0	0.89
2	CGY	14	0	0.51
3	MIN	20	0	1.22
3	CGY	10	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2