Boston Bruins at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-03-01 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 41.6%

BOS: 58.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.70

BOS: 3.79

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	34	31	3	91.2%	2.22	0	-0.78
BOS	L. Ullmark	28	24	4	85.7%	2.83	2	-1.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • ANA at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	ANA 4 - 3 BOS	ANA	ANA
2025-10-23	BOS 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	BOS
2025-03-26	ANA 6 - 2 BOS	ANA	BOS
2025-02-22	BOS 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	BOS
2023-10-26	BOS 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	10	2	1.20
1	BOS	12	0	0.32
2	ANA	10	0	0.80
2	BOS	20	0	1.34
3	ANA	19	0	0.83
3	BOS	14	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.7 - 3.8