Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2022-03-02 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

DAL: 53.0%

LAK: 47.0%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.94

LAK: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	31	28	3	90.3%	2.66	2	-0.34
LAK	C. Petersen	43	39	4	90.7%	5.26	5	1.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs LAK: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	DAL
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	LAK
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	17	0	1.12
1	LAK	11	0	0.61
2	DAL	25	3	2.42
2	LAK	15	1	1.04
3	DAL	15	2	1.73
3	LAK	12	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2