Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2022-03-03 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

WSH: 51.0%

CAR: 49.0%

Expected Goals

WSH: 2.81

CAR: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 47%

WSH

V. Vanecek

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	V. Vanecek	36	36	0	100.0%	2.09	1	2.09
CAR	Frederik Andersen	33	29	4	87.9%	2.45	1	-1.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • WSH at home vs CAR: 6-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	12	1	0.86
1	CAR	8	0	0.17
2	WSH	18	0	1.09
2	CAR	14	0	0.62
3	WSH	11	0	0.50
3	CAR	22	1	1.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1