New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-03-04 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 40.0%

NJD: 60.0%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.79

NJD: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 51%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	33	32	1	97.0%	3.71	2	2.71
NJD	Nico Daws	32	29	3	90.6%	3.11	0	0.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYR at home vs NJD: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NYR
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	20	0	1.12
1	NJD	19	2	1.71
2	NYR	10	0	0.65
2	NJD	10	0	0.71
3	NYR	16	0	1.34
3	NJD	15	0	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3