Los Angeles Kings at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2022-03-04 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 48.4%
LAK: 51.6%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 2.82
LAK: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA
LAK
J. Quick
| Stat | CBJ | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.877 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 4.04 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | Elvis Merzlikins | 43 | 39 | 4 | 90.7% | 2.52 | 2 | -1.48 |
| LAK | J. Quick | 29 | 26 | 3 | 89.7% | 1.73 | 0 | -1.27 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CBJ at home vs LAK: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | CBJ 4 - 5 LAK | LAK | CBJ |
| 2025-12-22 | LAK 1 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | LAK |
| 2025-01-25 | CBJ 3 - 2 LAK | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-11-09 | LAK 5 - 2 CBJ | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-02-20 | LAK 5 - 1 CBJ | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 7 | 0 | 0.13 |
| 1 | LAK | 14 | 1 | 0.79 |
| 2 | CBJ | 17 | 0 | 1.03 |
| 2 | LAK | 20 | 0 | 0.83 |
| 3 | CBJ | 9 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 3 | LAK | 16 | 1 | 0.67 |
| 4 | CBJ | 2 | 0 | 0.14 |
| 4 | LAK | 4 | 0 | 0.23 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.8 - 3.1
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