Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-03-05 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 6 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

FLA: 79.2%

DET: 20.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.64

DET: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

DET

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	25	23	2	92.0%	1.77	1	-0.23
DET	T. Greiss	39	33	6	84.6%	3.83	0	-2.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • FLA at home vs DET: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	21	0	1.99
1	DET	11	0	0.66
2	FLA	16	0	0.80
2	DET	5	0	0.30
3	FLA	16	0	1.04
3	DET	14	1	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 6 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6