St. Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-03-06 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues (OT)

Win Probability

NJD: 73.6%

STL: 26.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.46

STL: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 52%

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Nico Daws	21	19	2	90.5%	1.82	0	-0.18
STL	V. Husso	33	30	3	90.9%	3.82	2	0.82

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs STL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	STL 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	STL
2025-11-26	NJD 3 - 2 STL	NJD	NJD
2024-12-17	STL 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-11-27	NJD 0 - 3 STL	STL	NJD
2024-03-07	NJD 4 - 1 STL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	21	1	1.52
1	STL	20	0	0.88
2	NJD	14	0	1.20
2	STL	5	0	0.15
3	NJD	15	0	0.89
3	STL	9	0	0.76
4	NJD	1	1	0.21
4	STL	1	0	0.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6