New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-03-06 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 56.3%

NYR: 43.7%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.19

NYR: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	22	18	4	81.8%	1.68	0	-2.32
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	46	45	1	97.8%	3.99	3	2.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs NYR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYR 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	NYR
2026-03-12	WPG 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	WPG
2025-03-11	WPG 2 - 1 NYR	WPG	WPG
2024-11-12	NYR 3 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-19	NYR 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	18	2	1.34
1	NYR	12	0	0.72
2	WPG	19	0	0.91
2	NYR	12	0	0.65
3	WPG	21	1	1.74
3	NYR	7	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1