Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2022-03-08 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

TOR: 56.7%

SEA: 43.3%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.55

SEA: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

TOR

J. Campbell

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
TOR	J. Campbell	30	26	4	86.7%	2.21	2	-1.79
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	32	26	6	81.2%	3.94	3	-2.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • TOR at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	SEA 5 - 2 TOR	SEA	SEA
2025-10-18	TOR 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-02-06	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	TOR
2024-10-31	TOR 4 - 1 SEA	TOR	TOR
2024-01-21	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	20	0	1.08
1	SEA	11	0	0.54
2	TOR	16	2	1.55
2	SEA	16	1	1.32
3	TOR	14	1	1.31
3	SEA	9	1	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0