New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-03-08 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

MIN: 60.7%

NYR: 39.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.02

NYR: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 45%

MIN

C. Talbot

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	25	23	2	92.0%	1.85	0	-0.15
NYR	A. Georgiev	28	23	5	82.1%	3.88	3	-1.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • MIN at home vs NYR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	MIN 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	MIN
2025-10-20	NYR 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	NYR
2025-04-02	NYR 5 - 4 MIN	NYR	NYR
2025-03-13	MIN 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	MIN
2023-11-09	NYR 4 - 1 MIN	NYR	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	8	0	0.85
1	NYR	12	0	0.52
2	MIN	15	2	1.45
2	NYR	9	0	0.63
3	MIN	17	1	1.59
3	NYR	16	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.0 - 2.6