Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-03-10 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

BOS: 60.4%

CHI: 39.6%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.60

CHI: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

CHI

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	25	22	3	88.0%	1.90	1	-1.10
CHI	K. Lankinen	36	32	4	88.9%	3.57	2	-0.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	CHI 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-10-09	BOS 4 - 3 CHI	BOS	BOS
2025-04-10	BOS 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	BOS
2024-12-04	CHI 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	CHI
2023-10-24	CHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	13	0	0.97
1	CHI	13	0	0.74
2	BOS	14	1	1.43
2	CHI	4	0	0.18
3	BOS	21	1	1.17
3	CHI	14	1	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9