Seattle Kraken at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-03-10 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 42.4%

SEA: 57.6%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.83

SEA: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

SEA

C. Driedger

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	33	30	3	90.9%	2.52	2	-0.48
SEA	C. Driedger	27	23	4	85.2%	2.75	0	-1.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • OTT at home vs SEA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SEA 4 - 7 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-16	OTT 4 - 3 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-17	SEA 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-02	OTT 3 - 0 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-01-04	SEA 4 - 1 OTT	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	13	0	1.06
1	SEA	12	0	0.26
2	OTT	13	0	1.10
2	SEA	13	2	1.35
3	OTT	10	0	0.51
3	SEA	16	0	0.91
4	OTT	1	0	0.09
4	SEA	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3