Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-03-10 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

FLA: 71.5%

PHI: 28.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.72

PHI: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	37	34	3	91.9%	3.10	0	0.10
PHI	C. Hart	37	31	6	83.8%	4.79	2	-1.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs PHI: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	FLA
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	21	1	2.05
1	PHI	19	0	1.23
2	FLA	11	0	0.57
2	PHI	18	0	1.68
3	FLA	18	1	2.17
3	PHI	7	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.7 - 2.6