Colorado Avalanche at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-03-10 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 0 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

CAR: 56.6%

COL: 43.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.00

COL: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 74%

Over 6.5: 53%

CAR

A. Raanta

COL

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	36	36	0	100.0%	3.13	2	3.13
COL	D. Kuemper	37	35	2	94.6%	4.52	2	2.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CAR at home vs COL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CAR 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-10-23	COL 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-05	CAR 5 - 3 COL	CAR	CAR
2024-11-09	COL 6 - 4 CAR	COL	CAR
2024-02-08	CAR 5 - 2 COL	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	22	1	1.83
1	COL	14	0	0.89
2	CAR	13	0	0.76
2	COL	22	1	1.32
3	CAR	14	1	1.92
3	COL	11	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 0 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1