San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-03-10 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 San Jose Sharks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 58.8%

SJS: 41.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.33

SJS: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

LAK

J. Quick

SJS

Z. Sawchenko

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	30	26	4	86.7%	3.86	3	-0.14
SJS	Z. Sawchenko	36	33	3	91.7%	3.38	1	0.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • LAK at home vs SJS: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	LAK 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	LAK
2025-11-20	SJS 4 - 3 LAK	SJS	SJS
2025-10-28	SJS 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-30	LAK 8 - 1 SJS	LAK	LAK
2024-11-25	SJS 7 - 2 LAK	SJS	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	20	1	1.73
1	SJS	20	0	0.93
2	LAK	11	0	0.64
2	SJS	15	3	2.03
3	LAK	16	0	1.01
3	SJS	10	0	0.72
4	LAK	0	0	0.00
4	SJS	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6