Minnesota Wild at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-03-11 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 47.5%

MIN: 52.5%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.03

MIN: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

MIN

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	40	38	2	95.0%	3.73	1	1.73
MIN	K. Kahkonen	30	27	3	90.0%	3.16	1	0.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs MIN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	CBJ 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-10-11	MIN 4 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-10-19	CBJ 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	CBJ
2024-10-10	MIN 3 - 2 CBJ	MIN	MIN
2024-01-06	CBJ 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	18	0	0.69
1	MIN	14	0	0.66
2	CBJ	4	0	0.23
2	MIN	14	0	1.28
3	CBJ	12	0	0.76
3	MIN	16	1	1.05
4	CBJ	3	0	0.49
4	MIN	6	0	0.52
5	CBJ	2	1	1.00
5	MIN	3	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2