Seattle Kraken at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-03-12 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken (SO)

Win Probability

MTL: 41.6%

SEA: 58.4%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.80

SEA: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	41	37	4	90.2%	3.64	1	-0.36
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	35	32	3	91.4%	3.33	1	0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs SEA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	SEA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-10-14	MTL 5 - 4 SEA	MTL	MTL
2025-03-12	SEA 5 - 4 MTL	SEA	SEA
2024-10-29	MTL 2 - 8 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-03-24	SEA 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	18	0	1.11
1	SEA	12	0	0.64
2	MTL	12	1	1.02
2	SEA	20	0	1.30
3	MTL	8	0	0.52
3	SEA	9	0	0.27
4	MTL	4	0	0.21
4	SEA	3	0	0.11
5	MTL	7	0	0.47
5	SEA	7	1	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3