Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-03-12 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

CAR: 60.8%

PHI: 39.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.68

PHI: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 53%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

PHI

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	29	28	1	96.6%	1.67	0	0.67
PHI	M. Jones	36	33	3	91.7%	4.12	3	1.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • CAR at home vs PHI: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	22	0	1.32
1	PHI	13	0	0.42
2	CAR	20	1	1.51
2	PHI	15	0	0.99
3	CAR	15	2	1.29
3	PHI	7	0	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.7 - 3.0