St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-03-12 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 7 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 50.9%

STL: 49.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.18

STL: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	35	28	7	80.0%	4.49	5	-2.51
STL	V. Husso	35	31	4	88.6%	3.17	1	-0.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • NSH at home vs STL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	NSH 6 - 5 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-12-27	STL 3 - 2 NSH	STL	NSH
2025-12-15	STL 2 - 5 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-11	NSH 7 - 2 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-03-27	NSH 2 - 3 STL	STL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	1	1.01
1	STL	15	0	1.11
2	NSH	16	0	1.17
2	STL	13	2	1.15
3	NSH	17	0	1.00
3	STL	16	3	2.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 7 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3