Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-03-12 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

SJS: 51.9%

LAK: 48.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.96

LAK: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 49%

SJS

A. Hill

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	A. Hill	29	29	0	100.0%	2.29	1	2.29
LAK	C. Petersen	27	22	5	81.5%	2.47	2	-2.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • SJS at home vs LAK: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	LAK 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	LAK
2025-11-20	SJS 4 - 3 LAK	SJS	SJS
2025-10-28	SJS 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-30	LAK 8 - 1 SJS	LAK	LAK
2024-11-25	SJS 7 - 2 LAK	SJS	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	0	0.94
1	LAK	20	1	1.12
2	SJS	16	1	1.11
2	LAK	12	0	0.74
3	SJS	6	1	0.42
3	LAK	10	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0