Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-03-13 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 6 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (72% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 72.1%

NSH: 27.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.58

NSH: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

MIN

K. Kahkonen

NSH

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	K. Kahkonen	25	19	6	76.0%	4.40	4	-1.60
NSH	D. Rittich	28	26	2	92.9%	1.84	0	-0.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MIN at home vs NSH: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NSH 2 - 1 MIN	NSH	MIN
2026-02-04	NSH 5 - 6 MIN	MIN	NSH
2025-12-23	MIN 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-11-04	MIN 3 - 2 NSH	MIN	MIN
2025-01-18	NSH 6 - 2 MIN	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	0.56
1	NSH	10	1	0.81
2	MIN	14	0	0.55
2	NSH	18	0	1.33
3	MIN	13	0	0.73
3	NSH	10	3	2.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 72.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 6 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7