Calgary Flames at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-03-13 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 0 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

COL: 50.2%

CGY: 49.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.02

CGY: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 54%

COL

D. Kuemper

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	46	46	0	100.0%	3.01	1	3.01
CGY	Dan Vladar	32	29	3	90.6%	2.81	1	-0.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • COL at home vs CGY: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CGY 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-09	COL 3 - 1 CGY	COL	COL
2026-03-30	COL 9 - 2 CGY	COL	COL
2025-03-31	COL 2 - 3 CGY	CGY	COL
2025-03-14	CGY 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	13	0	0.60
1	CGY	14	0	0.53
2	COL	23	0	0.96
2	CGY	17	0	0.77
3	COL	14	1	1.26
3	CGY	27	1	1.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 0 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1