Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-03-13 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Florida Panthers (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 46.9%

FLA: 53.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.25

FLA: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

LAK

J. Quick

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	36	33	3	91.7%	4.89	4	1.89
FLA	Spencer Knight	39	35	4	89.7%	5.78	3	1.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs FLA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	FLA 3 - 2 LAK	FLA	FLA
2025-11-06	LAK 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	LAK
2025-01-29	FLA 3 - 0 LAK	FLA	FLA
2025-01-22	LAK 2 - 1 FLA	LAK	LAK
2024-01-11	FLA 3 - 2 LAK	FLA	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	1	1.14
1	FLA	13	0	1.38
2	LAK	20	0	0.84
2	FLA	13	2	1.06
3	LAK	15	0	1.07
3	FLA	9	0	0.47
4	LAK	7	0	0.69
4	FLA	5	1	0.76
5	LAK	5	2	2.04
5	FLA	5	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2