Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-03-15 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

Win Probability

NYR: 58.5%

ANA: 41.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.06

ANA: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

NYR

A. Georgiev

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	A. Georgiev	23	20	3	87.0%	2.45	1	-0.55
ANA	John Gibson	38	34	4	89.5%	2.52	0	-1.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	ANA 5 - 3 NYR	ANA	ANA
2025-12-15	NYR 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	NYR
2025-03-28	ANA 5 - 4 NYR	ANA	NYR
2024-10-26	NYR 2 - 1 ANA	NYR	NYR
2024-01-21	ANA 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	0	0.27
1	ANA	12	1	1.20
2	NYR	14	0	0.80
2	ANA	14	0	0.66
3	NYR	23	0	1.29
3	ANA	7	0	0.54
4	NYR	1	0	0.16
4	ANA	1	0	0.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9