Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-03-15 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 7 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 43.8%

VGK: 56.2%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.23

VGK: 3.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

VGK

L. Brossoit

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	38	35	3	92.1%	3.27	1	0.27
VGK	L. Brossoit	23	16	7	69.6%	2.72	0	-4.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs VGK: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	13	0	1.14
1	VGK	10	0	0.76
2	WPG	12	0	1.04
2	VGK	21	0	0.79
3	WPG	7	0	0.55
3	VGK	27	1	1.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 7 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.5