Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-03-15 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 0 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 59.8%

COL: 40.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.30

COL: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

LAK

J. Quick

COL

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	27	24	3	88.9%	2.57	1	-0.43
COL	D. Kuemper	23	23	0	100.0%	2.44	0	2.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • LAK at home vs COL: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	LAK
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	9	0	0.64
1	COL	15	0	0.97
2	LAK	15	0	1.00
2	COL	12	1	0.93
3	LAK	11	0	0.79
3	COL	7	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 0 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7