Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-03-15 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Florida Panthers (OT)

Win Probability

SJS: 36.7%

FLA: 63.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.52

FLA: 4.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

SJS

J. Reimer

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	34	31	3	91.2%	3.46	1	0.46
FLA	Spencer Knight	26	24	2	92.3%	2.22	0	0.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SJS at home vs FLA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	FLA 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	FLA
2025-11-08	SJS 3 - 1 FLA	SJS	FLA
2025-01-25	SJS 2 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-07	FLA 3 - 1 SJS	FLA	FLA
2023-11-14	SJS 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	0.70
1	FLA	14	0	1.04
2	SJS	15	0	1.30
2	FLA	10	0	0.50
3	SJS	4	0	0.21
3	FLA	27	1	1.85
4	SJS	0	0	0.00
4	FLA	2	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.5 - 4.2