Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-03-16 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

MIN: 59.6%

BOS: 40.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.08

BOS: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

MIN

C. Talbot

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	26	24	2	92.3%	2.05	0	0.05
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	34	30	4	88.2%	3.37	4	-0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs BOS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BOS 6 - 3 MIN	BOS	MIN
2025-12-14	MIN 6 - 2 BOS	MIN	BOS
2025-03-02	MIN 1 - 0 BOS	MIN	MIN
2025-02-04	BOS 3 - 0 MIN	BOS	BOS
2023-12-23	MIN 3 - 2 BOS	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	1	0.89
1	BOS	11	0	0.61
2	MIN	12	0	0.63
2	BOS	13	0	0.86
3	MIN	22	3	1.85
3	BOS	11	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0