Nashville Predators at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-03-17 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 4 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

PHI: 55.5%

NSH: 44.5%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.15

NSH: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

PHI

C. Hart

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	34	30	4	88.2%	1.76	0	-2.24
NSH	Juuse Saros	33	28	5	84.8%	2.96	1	-2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • PHI at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-06	NSH 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-10-30	PHI 4 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2025-03-31	PHI 2 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2024-11-27	NSH 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-21	PHI 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	22	0	1.63
1	NSH	13	0	0.59
2	PHI	13	1	0.97
2	NSH	13	0	0.65
3	PHI	7	0	0.36
3	NSH	19	0	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5