Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-03-17 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 7 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CBJ: 39.6%

WSH: 60.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.84

WSH: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

WSH

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	34	27	7	79.4%	3.52	3	-3.48
WSH	V. Vanecek	41	39	2	95.1%	3.77	2	1.77

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CBJ at home vs WSH: 1-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CBJ 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-12-07	WSH 2 - 0 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-11-24	WSH 5 - 1 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-10-24	CBJ 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-13	WSH 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	17	0	0.91
1	WSH	15	1	1.08
2	CBJ	21	1	1.85
2	WSH	17	0	0.94
3	CBJ	15	1	1.01
3	WSH	12	2	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 7 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4