Detroit Red Wings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-03-17 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 59.5%

DET: 40.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.42

DET: 2.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 55%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	35	34	1	97.1%	2.75	0	1.75
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	43	43	0	100.0%	4.19	2	4.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VAN at home vs DET: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	DET 5 - 1 VAN	DET	DET
2025-12-08	VAN 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-02-02	VAN 2 - 3 DET	DET	VAN
2024-12-01	DET 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-02-15	VAN 4 - 1 DET	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	15	1	1.24
1	DET	21	0	1.40
2	VAN	24	1	2.09
2	DET	14	0	0.95
3	VAN	16	0	0.85
3	DET	6	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.4