Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-03-19 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

MIN: 56.1%

CHI: 43.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.32

CHI: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

MIN

C. Talbot

CHI

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	22	21	1	95.5%	1.53	0	0.53
CHI	K. Lankinen	34	31	3	91.2%	4.67	5	1.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • MIN at home vs CHI: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	1	0.96
1	CHI	9	0	0.48
2	MIN	16	1	1.16
2	CHI	8	0	0.63
3	MIN	20	3	2.55
3	CHI	8	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6