New Jersey Devils at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-03-19 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 48.3%

NJD: 51.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.46

NJD: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 54%

EDM

M. Koskinen

NJD

J. Gillies

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Koskinen	28	25	3	89.3%	3.39	1	0.39
NJD	J. Gillies	40	34	6	85.0%	4.49	3	-1.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • EDM at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	EDM 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	EDM
2025-10-18	NJD 5 - 3 EDM	NJD	EDM
2025-03-13	NJD 3 - 2 EDM	NJD	EDM
2024-11-04	EDM 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2023-12-21	NJD 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	14	0	0.78
1	NJD	12	0	1.29
2	EDM	19	0	1.10
2	NJD	13	1	1.04
3	EDM	21	3	2.60
3	NJD	17	0	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.5 - 3.4